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Has General Motors' recovery peaked?

Business columnist Tom Walsh offered this view on why investors saw the glass half-empty:

Is this as good as things are going to get for General Motors?

That's what stock market traders seem to be asking.

By comparison with its disastrous near-collapse and a federal bailout in 2008, of course, GM is doing splendidly now, having posted $7.1 billion in profits so far in nine months this year, 71% better than a year ago. Remember, this is a company that lost $82 billion in several years before its government-orchestrated Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2009.

It has since wrested the global sales lead away from Toyota and is now gaining market share in both the U.S. and China, the world's two largest automobile markets.

So what's not to like?

Several things:

Europe. GM suffered a pretax loss of $292 million in Europe last quarter and CEO Dan Akerson conceded that the company does not expect to meet its stated goal of breakeven in Europe this year because of the region's struggling economy. Brazil. The automaker slumped from a $163-million profit to a $44-million loss in South America last quarter. Akerson called the results in South America and Europe "unsustainable and unacceptable." Slower growth and narrower margins in Asia. GM continues to boost sales and market share in China, where its profit margin -- 10% of sales -- matched that of North America last quarter. But a slowdown in China's growth appears under way and price competition is escalating, putting pressure on profits.

Dan Ammann, chief financial officer, said Wednesday after the earnings report that rising sales incentives, along with launch costs for the new Baojun brand, were factors in pinching GM's profit margin in China by 1.3 percentage points in the past year.

"Eventually, China becomes a more normal market, with all the pressures that come with it," said auto analyst Maryann Keller. "Wages are rising; growth is not high enough to absorb all the new capacity. There's a lot more price competition there now; even BMW is cutting prices in China.

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